In Alaska, oil companies keep 2 sets of books on pipeline's value
Amanda Coyne |
Jan 24, 2012
Longtime Alaskans may remember a commercial featuring three school-aged boys in a kitchen. They're making a box cake and following the directions. Then one of them has a brilliant idea: if you turn up the heat, the cake will be done in half the time! Cut to the smoke billowing out of the oven, the boys coughing, the cake burnt. The concerned announcer tells the viewers: "A quick fix for today's desires could ruin a promising future for everyone." Arco Alaska first aired that commercial in 1986, when it looked as though the Alaska Legislature might raise taxes on the oil industry. It was followed with more commercials, Op-Eds, letters to the editor, threats and stuffed campaign coffers. Arco -- the company that discovered Prudhoe Bay -- was Alaska's oil company and it didn't shy from flexing its muscles. The debate all but died with the help of oilman Bill Allen and former-lawmaker-turned-lobbyist Ed Dankworth. That is, until 1989, when the Exxon Valdez ran aground in Prince William Sound during a legislative session, and Alaskans wanted revenge. Leases, which are legally binding, couldn't be pulled. The companies couldn't be kicked out. Taxation was the only tool available. "We’re smoking on Big Oil," one legislative aide said after votes were cast. Arco and BP reacted swiftly, suspending more than $140 million in new North Slope projects. Industry, it seemed, was living up to its warnings. Within a year, however, BP resumed its projects. Arco waited longer, reviving its canceled projects in 1996. The threats oil companies were making then -- and in fact in nearly every discussion of oil taxation since Prudhoe Bay was discovered in 1968 -- very much resemble the threats they are making today. New salesmen, same snake oilJump to 2012. On the Make Alaska Competitive website you’ll find a series of ads slicker than those from 1986 but offering largely the same message: keep taxes low and oil production will continue. Make Alaska Competitive (MAC) is a coalition set up by Anchorage public relations and advertising firm MSI Communications. The campaign is charged with leading the public opinion crusade to lower taxes on the oil industry. MAC's ads feature 6-year-old Ava. By the time she gets into high school, the trans-Alaska pipeline could be shut down, a concerned narrator warns, adding, "If we don’t stop the decline, we'll all pay the price." This sentiment pervaded the Capitol last regular legislative session as yet another oil tax debate captivated Alaska. A coalition of House Republicans and oil company executives joined Gov. Sean Parnell warning that if lawmakers didn't offer tax relief to Alaska's producers, "little Ava" from MAC's ads may not be able to grow up in a state where nearly 90 percent of its budget is funded by oil royalties. That little Ava may some day be forced to pay something like a state income tax. That Alaska's current tax regime might jeopardize little Ava's annual state welfare check, the Permanent Fund Dividend. And the big one: That without an estimated $2 billion cut in taxes, oil production might continue to diminish to a point that the state's economic main vein, the trans-Alaska pipeline, may have to be dismantled -- before MAC's "little Ava" even attends her high school prom. That argument might well have continued in Juneau, aided and abetted by a governor who once worked for an oil company and who along with pro-industry lawmakers supports a tax break for the oil companies. In a recent speech on the Senate floor, Sen. Hollis French, D-Anchorage, said that the pipeline has been used as a "pawn" in the fight to slash oil taxes. But a ruling by Anchorage Superior Court Judge Sharon Gleason on what was until recently a little-known court battle may change the debate somewhat.
by AKgasman | February 6, 2012 - 4:40pm
or the roughly 20 billion barrels of heavy oil that isn’t considered technologically or economically recoverable at the moment.
by Widerquist | January 31, 2012 - 12:38am
Good article. Alaskans have to by very diligent to keep their legislature from getting fooled (or worse) by the oil companies on issues like this. Norway takes more than 75% of all revenue from their oil, and they still find plenty of oil companies willing to bring it to the market for them.
by Iquq | January 26, 2012 - 1:27pm
Seven billion barrel proven reserves reported for the fy2009 period may be the result of gaming the new SEC 33-8995 Modernization of Oil and Gas Disclosure Rule allowing expanded methods for basing estimates, but it also applies Alaska's ACES 2008 tax rate to the "economic producibility" factor that defines "proven reserve".
by KR15 | January 25, 2012 - 10:31pm
What everyone fails to see is that while BP, ConocoPhillips, and all the rest of the big oil up here is crying about taxes like little children (and spending millions of dollars in advertising to do it) is that there is a line of other companies just waiting to pay whatever tax we impose on OUR oil. The last thing these douche bags want us to talk about is kicking them out of Alaska and sending someone else to do the job. Just look at how fast Sarah Palin got an offer to leave the governors office. These companies want to rob us blind and still stick it to us up the back side. Anyone who says otherwise is just a big oil puppet.
by akmba | January 25, 2012 - 11:07pm
Total government take here is 82%... Would you invest somewhere that took 82 cents of every dollar you made or would you invest somewhere else that took less. And, for a state that relies on oil for 92% of its budget...we can all be considered puppets until our own "take all you can now" attitude cuts the strings and leaves us wondering why. Socialism has no place in AK.
by amanda | January 28, 2012 - 2:15pm
@akmba: that's simply not true. Alaska's take at $100 a barrel is about 53 percent of profit. They get to deduct roughly $30 per barrel (for production costs, transportation, etc..) So, on $100 the total state take roughly $37, which would be 37 percent. Please let me know where you're getting your numbers.
by jimbehlke | January 26, 2012 - 2:00pm
Akmba, again, what are your company's Alaska profits, and what are the other companies' profits? Obviously you work for one of the North Slope producers. Rip off has no place in Alaska but apparently there will be a full court press during this legislative session to achieve it. How much money is your company making, and how much are the others making too? What are the profits? Seems like a simple question but after all your smoke and mirrors you don't have an answer for that, do you? Why can't Alaskans know? What is the number? Why don't you want Alaskans to know? Why can't this be part of the discussion? Why won't the Governor tell us? Seems like Department of Revenue would probably have a pretty good idea. Why won't the governor and legislators who advocate lower taxes tell us how much money North Slope producers are taking in profits after taxes? Kind of makes me wonder if this governor (and his advocates in the legislature) should perhaps consider moving their operations to Texas. Maybe we ought to move Alaska's capital to Texas so they can be cozier with their constituents. Just answer the simple question: how much money are North Slope producers taking out of Alaska after taxes?
by AKSkeptic | January 25, 2012 - 7:29pm
Judge Gleason's decision may be good news if you live in Barrow, Fairbanks, or Valdez, but not for the great majority of Alaskans who live elsewhere in the State. The increased property taxes that Judge Gleason imposed on TAPS are passed on to the North Slope producers through transportation charges. The producers offset these transportation charges as a business expense reducing taxable income and taxes payable to the State's General Fund. Less taxes in the General Taxes means less revenue available to most citizens in Alaska. This is a problem that has existed since the State created the special property taxes targeted at the oil and gas industry. The law encourages aggressive tax behavior by a few bush communities to the detriment of the general citizenry. It also has caused a distortion of public expenditures. Next time you are in downtown Barrow, look around and ask yourself where literally hundreds and hundreds of millions of oil and gas property taxes have been spent by that city. If anything, the judge's decision should prompt outrage on the part of the general citizenry and a demand that all oil and gas property taxes be directed to the General Fund. The collective citizenry through the Legislature can then decide the appropriate revenues to direct to all communities in the State.
by runsilentrundeep | January 27, 2012 - 11:53am
Good article Amanda. Keep it up! All Judge Gleason did was read the reports that were produced by big oil and interpret them correctly. We could continue to be confused by all the conflicting reports produced by big oil over the past 35 years but I think it is time to reach our own conclusions as did Judge Gleason. As Amanda so skillfully pointed out, big oil has been feeding we Alaskans the same line for the past several decades. I don't fault big oil for doing it but I do fault anyone who actually believes it. If we can beat back big oil and their lobbyist, Sean Panell, for one more legislative session - this whole oil tax roll-back thing may end. Looking for hope.
by akmba | January 25, 2012 - 9:34am
Unfortunately, Amanda Coyne is focusing on the wrong issues and drawing conclusions that are irrelevant - as irrelevant as what Judge Gleason's decision does, or does not, say. The pipeline is simply a vehicle for transporting oil. Whether it can safely do its job at 100 barrels a day or 2 million barrels a day isn't the issue. Even the fact that technical challenges arise at lower levels, that at certain level (not yet pinpointed) trucks will have to move the oil from near Fairbanks to Valdez during the winter, all of these points are irrelevant. What's important is production...period. No one can argue that production continues to fall. Just in the last four years our daily production is down by 160,000 barrels per day....note that's PER DAY. If this trend continues, the state will be in a dangerous situation considering it's budget continues to grow. I don't think it's "propaganda" to hold the position that if we don't attract investments and increase production, our future generations will face a very different Alaska than we know today. The pipeline could shut down in a few years or in a hundred years. But if it goes a hundred years with a mere fraction of the oil needed to sustain our economy, what's the point? We have to do whatever we can to turn production around. That's the only way to stave off other budget solutions like income taxes, PFD raids or budget cuts. Amanda seems to think the oil companies are acting punitively with their threats of less investment. I think these are based on economics such as the price of oil (take a look at what it was in the 80s and 90s), return on investment here versus other places where it's higher, operating costs which are higher here than anywhere else, and tax stability). Had she done here research she would have gotten the point rather than made assumptions to make her story more interesting. Finally, she should also look at the hundreds of businesses that are supporting Make Alaska Competitive - none of which are oil companies (they are not allowed to be members). These are mostly Alaska businesses small and large, all of which understand that if we don't do something to turn oil production around, we're in for a rude awakening sooner than later.
by jimbehlke | January 25, 2012 - 6:21pm
What is important is not production but profits. Money is money. They won't tell us what their profits are. They should tell us what their profits are. North Slope producers are not in it for production. They are in it for profits. What are their profits? Why won't they tell us what their profits are? If production was paramount then they'd produce regardless of profits. Yea sure. Gimme a break. The only reason they're siphoning Alaska's non renewable resources is because they profit from extracting and exporting them. They don't care about production quantity-- if they could sell a cup of North Slope Crude for a billion dollars, they would.
by akmba | January 25, 2012 - 11:00pm
Produce regardless of profits? No for-profit business would do such a thing. But you miss the point. Production is paramount for Alaska because over 90% of our state's budget is paid for by oil revenues. People seem to think that Alaska is the only place for the producers to operate in. Production is how they make their money - yes. But they can produce in a number of places all over the world and will invest capital and produce oil in those places where they can get the largest return on investment. If you could invest $100 to mine an ounce of gold in either of three countries and sell that gold for $1,000 regardless of which country you picked, but country A took 30%, country B took 40% and country C took 50%....which would you choose? Alaska is in the same position as country C. Total government take here is higher than anywhere else in North America and most places around the world. That's why Alberta and North Dakota are booming with investment and production. The question should not be profits but it should be ROI. At high oil prices both the state and oil companies are enjoying higher revenues. However, when it comes to investing, return on invested capital in Alaska is uncompetitive and these companies are investing elsewhere. If I sold something for $100 and the government took 82% of that, I don't think anyone would be able to say I was siphoning anything off. To the contrary, the government TAKE is the culprit here. Lastly, the producers do report their profits. ADN and other news sources report on them every time they do. Just google and you shall find.
by jimbehlke | January 26, 2012 - 2:29am
Actually you miss the point. The point is North Slope producers are making tons of money. Billions and billions of dollars. The question should be profits. And they won't tell us how much money they are making. If you look at their annual reports, you can kind of get the impression they are making PLENTY of money in Alaska. I don't feel sorry for them at all. They have been laughing their heads off all the way to the bank. You say "If I sold something for $100 and the government took 82% of that, I don't think anyone would be able to say I was siphoning anything off." Could you be more specific? 82 percent of what? Their profits? What are their after tax profits? Do you know? Please tell me if you know how much money North Slope Producers, after tax, have profited from their North Slope operations over the last few years? Any numbers? Pardon my ignorance, but could you help me google for the magic profit numbers? A few years ago a state senator asked for specifics from one north slope producer, and the producer refused to answer the question. What is the magic search term? Tell me and I'll try it and I'll see if we can get an accurate total. But why don't you just cut to the chase and tell us how many billions of dollars are getting siphoned out of Alaska? Do you know? Or is this your company's secret?
by Ridgerunner | January 25, 2012 - 8:45am
The question of "what does a judge know about pipelines?" is indeed a valid one. However, this judge did come up with a more valid assessment than any put forth by any news outlet to date, at least on the life estimate of the pipeline. As to value for taxation; that seems a crapshoot to some degree. If you hang out with enough Alyeska engineers for long enough you'll learn that they have been chuckling about the rumors of the impending demise of the pipeline for many years because they know it's all BS. Here's to Royal Dutch Shell making some good discoveries and Pt Thompson becoming economic to develop. That will change everything. It ain't over till it's over and it's far from over on the north slope. This is a good article. Nowhere near comprehensive, but good.
by akmba | January 25, 2012 - 9:55am
Shell's finds are great and hopefully will be produced in the near future. The state will get little revenue though since these finds are on the federal side of the border.
by tomclark | January 25, 2012 - 8:52am
Nicely said.
by ragnarock | January 25, 2012 - 8:39am
Unfortunatly ARCO is gone and present day slope producers did not inhearet Arcos benevolence or sense of being an Alaska company, couple that with an adminestration and legeslature unwilling to hold a line and we end up with the oil companies doing the absolute least that they need to to maintain political viability.their tax structure if changed at all should be directly tied to in state investments like a gas line,lng or lpg plant or refinery near the pipeline terminus, to bring in state fule costs down
by tomclark | January 25, 2012 - 8:51am
ARCO--benevolent? You don't recall the years 1990-1997 when ARCO threw a tizzy over taxes and refused to invest in the North Slope? I remember it clearly, it was a darned hard time for us guys that worked up there. ARCO benevolence. You are such a comedian. -TomClark
by bookie71 | January 25, 2012 - 8:32am
You state that the governor once worked for the oil companies, he never quit, instead of a salary he now gets campaign contributions.
by chasm | January 25, 2012 - 7:43am
What, pray tell, does a judge know about pipeline physics? And it is not only the physics but the economics of running the line at low volumes. During the winter at low volumes it will be necessary to heat the oil, further decreasing the economics.
by Jack | January 25, 2012 - 7:23am
It's too bad that you buried the most important statement of the article in the last sentence in the fourth-to-the-last paragraph, "...that may one day become economically recoverable." That's the key- THE key!! No judges opinion, no missive from Hollis French or Les Gara.....Not even three pages of written muse. ONLY ONE fact matters- What makes it "economically recoverable". Without that, the likes of French, Gara and other anti-oil coalition members won't have a penny to play with and without that unfortunately not only do they lose, but so does Alaska.
by amanda | January 25, 2012 - 9:02am
@jack. Thanks. But I think I buried what I buried was the fact that there are 7 billion barrels of economically recoverable oil up there right now. That takes the current tax rate into account.
by akmba | January 25, 2012 - 3:13pm
Taking the current tax rate into account and the high price of oil, why are those 7 billion barrels not being produced in Alaska? What's your take on the reason why capital investments are way up in Alberta and North Dakota but not here? I think Alberta had some $22B in investment last year compared to $2B here? Interested to know what you think the reasons are. Thank you!
by amanda | January 28, 2012 - 2:18pm
@AKMBA: Why would the oil companies produce more when they've been assured by the governor, et al, that their taxes are going to be lowered in the future. Smart of them to hold some of that oil until that future date, no?
by tomclark | January 25, 2012 - 8:49am
Jack, Huh? The reason this is not economically recoverable has very little to do with French or any other environmentalist. You think this is a democrat or an environmentalist obstacle? I bet you think the Keystone XL line was going to provide Canadian oil for US consumers, you are so misinformed. -TomClark
by elauesen | January 25, 2012 - 1:31am
Dear Amanda: Bravo! This article should be mandatory reading by every Alaskan who receives a dividend. Solid as a rock writing. Thank you! |













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