In Alaska, you're more likely to be murdered than killed in a moose collision
Craig Medred |
Feb 13, 2012
To hear the Los Angeles Times tell it -- with help from Alaska State Troopers and the Alaska Moose Federation -- it sounds dangerous to even pull the car your car onto a roadway in the 49th state. "Alaska State Troopers spokeswoman Megan Peters said the agency has no records of how many people have been injured in moose collisions this year, but Alaska's history is replete with horror stories," the newspaper reported this week. '"I remember a wreck a few years back where all four people in the vehicle were killed after a moose was struck,' Peters said in an email." Imagine, a crash with a moose could kill your whole family. Peters might well have written an email making such a claim, but a quick search on Google, an amazing research tool for reporters these days, reveals no hint of a story about four dead in a collision with a moose in Alaska or anywhere else. And Joanna Reed, the traffic records research analyst overseeing the Fatality Analysis Reporting System for the Alaska Highway Safety Office, had this to say in an email: "I have checked our records back through 1994 and have found no record of a crash with four fatalities involving a moose." But why let facts get in the way of a good story? After all, people do sometimes die in collisions with moose in Alaska. And the odds are high that if you drive enough in Alaska you will, sooner or later, run into a moose. Radio talk-show host Tom Anderson hit one just the other day. The damage to his car was minor as is often the case. "Scared the crap out of me," Anderson added on his Facebook page. "I hit the brakes ... and clip its right hind leg. He kept running." Anderson has spent most of his life in Alaska. This was bound to happen. A state study in the 1990s concluded the odds are about 1 in 1,000 that a regular commuter will eventually hit a moose in moosey areas of the state. Those areas, fortunately, are small. About half of all moose-vehicle collisions happen along only 91 miles of roadway in the state. That's about a half of 1 percent of the state road system, according to the Alaska Department of Transportation. Unfortunately, the 91 miles around which the moose congregate in winter largely overlap the state's few urban areas. One would think drivers might note this and be especially carefully, but there is no sign that they do. Moose-car collisions, for instance, increase in bad weather. Drivers going too fast for the conditions can't get the car or truck stopped quick enough when a moose walks onto the road. Whammo. Damage can amount to the tens of thousands of dollars in these collisions, but the risks of death are pretty small. "Only one-half of 1 percent of Alaska's moose-vehicle accidents result in a motorist fatality," the aforementioned state study noted. "Given this, the commuter mentioned above faces a 1 in 200,000 chance of striking a moose and being killed." And remember, this commuter drives daily on that one-half of 1 percent of roadways with concentrations of moose. For motorists on 99.5 percent of the roads in Alaska, the odds of dying in a moose-motor vehicle accident are way less than 1 in 200,000, but let's stick to that figure. "The commuter mentioned above is equally as likely to be involved in an alcohol-related traffic accident as a moose-vehicle accident," the state study reported. "They are five times more likely to have their car stolen than hit a moose. They are 1,000 times more likely to die from some other cause, including cancer, drowning, other car accidents, homicide, etc., than from a moose accident. The commuter is 16 times more likely to die as a victim of a homicide than from a collision with a moose." Whoa! You're 16 times more likely to be murdered in the 49th state than to die as a result of your motor vehicle hitting a moose? This could almost make one wonder if the whole issue of moose-vehicle collisions isn't a little overhyped.
by rewisecarver | February 17, 2012 - 12:44am
I have had a driver's license in Alaska since 1963 and have never struck a moose-a lot of this is luck but some of this is understanding moose behavior. Moose are creatures of habit and much of this can be predicted. Unfortunately, the state of AK does not understand this. Clear cutting new growth trees down to ground level does keep moose from feeding along the roads but with drivers it is "out of sight out of mind" and with moose cleared ground is a place to cross in a hurry. Feeding moose are not often a road crossing danger, but a moose being pursued by dogs, bears or wolves will cross an open area on the run and a moose making seasonal migration may cross a hiway at an unfamiliar location but will always come out the tree with some suddenness or speed. So leave the roadside brush 2 or 3 feet high so that moose have something to eat in the winter and still can be seen while they feed. And so drivers will maintain their awareness year around of the existence of moose along Alaska's urban hiways. We can stop moose from "dashing across open space but being aware of their habits will truly reduce the problem.
by northofdenali | February 15, 2012 - 10:15am
Of course, this is the same LA Times that labelled Seattle-area dwellers as "wimps" pending the large snow/ice storm last month.....and proceeded to contradict themselves by a 600% increase in auto accidents during the next LA-area RAIN storm............
by Skeptic | February 14, 2012 - 9:12am
So, what you are saying is that moose are at least twice as dangerous as drunk drivers? Hmmm.... I have no love for the AMF, and I've never been in a vehicle accident that required the cops show up, but personal experience suggests that Moose are a significant danger on our roads. Well over half of my "close calls" have involved moose.
by Ramus | February 14, 2012 - 10:56am
Maybe you should examine your driving habits.
by Jack | February 14, 2012 - 7:50am
Craig, the danger may in fact be over-hyped to some degree but at the same time the stats for moose/vehicle collisions do not reflect all the collisions. I know I'm not the only one who's vehicle sports a 'moose bump' from a close encounter after which I went on my way and the moose went on its way. While every murder is reported, a fair number of close encounters with moose go unreported.
by craigmedred | February 15, 2012 - 10:22am
Jack: It's clear from the statistics that moose do indeed help wreck a lot of cars, but so does snow. The latter would appear far more dangerous when it comes to fatalities, too. The statistical realities should make everyone more worried about road maintenance in bad weather than moose in any weather, because what kills a lot of people (other than bad driving) is sliding off slippery roads and slamming into things. Most of those things are not moose. You are probably also right that there are lots of moose-involved fender benders that go unreported, but every moose fatality -- just like every death by homicide -- IS reported in this state. And those numbers make it clear that your chances of being killed by a moose are thankfully and somewhat amazingly low. It can happen, but the real danger on the road is another car. |













Comments