Arctic: Long-term outlook for summertime sea ice grim as ever
Doug O'Harra |
May 04, 2011
Arctic sea ice continued its seasonal shrink during April, but not at the same starting pace that produced records and near records since last summer, according to the latest update by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This hesitation in the spring meltdown appeared temporary, however, with warm temperatures jump-starting ice loss and ripping open polynas in just the past few weeks, the NSIDC reported. Meanwhile, the long-term outlook for the fate of the summertime pack remained as grim as ever. A new Arctic Council report to be released to diplomats next week claims that ice has been declining much faster than previously thought and predicts global sea levels will rise by as much as five feet over the next 90 years. “The warning of much higher seas comes as the world's nations remain bogged down in their two-decade-long talks on reducing emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases blamed for global warming,” reported The Associated Press this week, after obtaining a copy of the report’s executive summary. Indeed, the total volume of sea ice — not just the size of the area covered by sea ice — continues to plunge year after year and has never been lower, according the April 3 ice mass estimate posted by the Polar Science Center at the University of Washington. It’s all part of an inexorable 30 year trend in declining sea ice across the Arctic. The situation climaxes each year during the summer melt season when the accumulated loss eliminates habitat for polar bears, walruses and seals. This annual summer meltdown also triggers even more climate warming because the dark ocean surface absorbs more solar energy than reflective white floes. Since March 7, when it nearly tied for the smallest winter maximum on the books, the Far North’s frozen ocean has slowly peeled back to the fifth smallest extent seen at this time of year since satellite monitoring began in the 1970s, according to the new analysis by the NSIDC. Ice extent shrank about 11,560 square miles per day over the month — about one third slower than usual. During April, ice covered about 5.46 million square miles. That’s about 328,000 square miles below the average seen between 1979 and 2000 for this month — a loss of a frozen habitat as large as California, Oregon and Washington combined. “ For most of April, nearly all of the eastern Arctic, north of Europe and Russia, remained warmer than average,” the NSIDC explained. “In contrast, most of the western Arctic was cooler than normal, with temperatures 6 degrees Celsius (11 degrees Fahrenheit) cooler than average over Davis Strait and Baffin Bay.” Because the eastern Arctic posted warmer temperatures all winter, the ice probably didn’t thicken as much as previous winters and could retreat very fast as summer comes on, the scientists said. “Most of the ice loss during April was in the Kara Sea, north of Siberia, and the northern Baltic Sea in Europe,” the NSIDC reported. “Ice also retreated rapidly in the western Bering Sea and the Sea of Okhotsk. Towards the end of April, ice loss accelerated in the eastern Arctic as temperatures warmed there, leading to the formation of open water areas, or polynyas.”
by chasm | May 6, 2011 - 6:37am
Oh woe is me. Quit using cars, heating your homes, and you don't need all that manufactured stuff they use in homes, hospitals, and airports. Stop washing your clothes, and taking showers, and use an outhouse. Quit eating all that stuff that comes from Mexico and South America in the winter. Canned goods are better for you, oh wait, canned goods take energy to process and ship.
by scwak | May 5, 2011 - 12:49pm
Yeah. Now pile on the equivalent of all the glaciers in the world and the amount of sea ice above the level of the glass, then see what happens. You may need a towel.
by Soldotnaman | May 4, 2011 - 5:42pm
Good grief. Sea ice causing sea levels to rise? OK quick home test. Fill a glass with ice, top it off with water and let it melt. Let me know if the melting ice causes the glass to overflow. Yeah. Second. Why are they in a panic when we apparently have a small winter maximum since 1979. Whoa in 32 years!!! Since satellite information is the most accurate way of measuring the area of sea ice and the information is only 32 years old, I'm not prone to panic over insignificant data. |















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