Alaska Dispatch

According to a new voter poll released by The Club for Growth, Doug Hoffman, the Conservative Party candidate in the special election being held for New York's 23rd House District has a commanding lead over his Republican Party opponent, DeDe Scozzafava. Readers may recall that last week, Sarah Palin joined other leading Republicans in rogue support of Hoffman. The Club for Growth's poll numbers show Hoffman leading all candidates with 31 percent, Democrat Bill Owens at 27 percent, and Scozzafava trailing at 19 percent (with 22 percent [!] undecided). The poll, however, has a margin of error of +/- 5.66 percent, and most statisticians will tell you that any poll with a margin of error larger than 5 points should be taken with a teaspoon of salt, at the very least. Because of the Club's efforts on behalf of Hoffman, and because Hoffman signed a pledge against earmarks and tax hikes in exchange for the Club's endorsement, that salt dosage should be upped to a quarter of a cup. Although news of Hoffman's recent uptick is all over the interwebs, no one we've yet read has credited Palin's Facebook note for increasing his momentum, but no doubt all that attention didn't hurt. Analysts are saying that the Republican has fallen too far to catch up, and that it's now a two-person race between the Conservative, Hoffman, and the Democrat, Owens. That seems confirmed by the latest reports that Democrats have started running attack ads against Hoffman.

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