September 9, 2010

Alaska Dispatch

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Tundra Telegraph

It's our oil... but it's their investment

| Mar 11, 2010
As the current legislative session heads into the home stretch and the electoral season approaches, Alaskans increasingly hear the slogan "It's our oil (and gas)" as justification for various proposals and positions.

While the slogan makes for good rhetoric, it is important Alaskans keep in mind that, although it's our oil and gas, it's the oil companies' money that discovers, develops, produces and markets, and -- hopefully -- will continue to explore for new resources. Without their investment, our oil would still be in the ground, and according to Scott Goldsmith of UAA's Institute for Social and Economic Research, Alaska would look a lot like Maine, with high state income and sales taxes, no dividend, and a very small local economy.

Theoretically, the development of Alaska's resources could have been handled differently. When oil was discovered in the Norwegian sector of the North Sea, for example, the government established and funded a state owned corporation (Statoil) that put the country's money in the ground alongside private industry. While the effort required significant capital and exposed the government to substantial financial risk, the net result today is that Norway has an entity capable of taking the lead in exploring new areas if private industry is hesitant to do so. Some other countries follow the same model with varying degrees of success.

Since statehood, however, Alaska consistently has chosen a different path. For a number of reasons -- not the least of which are lack of capital and a limited appetite for undertaking financial risk with state funds -- Alaska has chosen to follow the same approach used by the federal government and most private U.S. landowners by contracting with the private sector for the development of state-owned lands.

As the landowner, Alaska leases its oil and gas resources to private oil companies for a contractually agreed term. In turn, the companies agree to shoulder all of the investments necessary to explore for, develop and produce the resources under contractually agreed provisions.

Most importantly, as compensation for Alaska's interests, Alaska and the oil companies have agreed that Alaska will receive a lease bonus and the revenues realized from the sale of a contractually established percent of the production.

Historically, this arrangement has proven to be extremely beneficial to Alaskans. The $900 million in lease bonuses paid by the oil companies in 1969 for the core Prudhoe Bay tracts is largely credited with finally putting Alaska's government -- which had been on shaky ground since statehood -- on a firm footing. Revenues received from subsequent production have enabled Alaskans to finance extensive state and local government projects and operations without any significant individual or corporate tax burden.

There is an even greater degree, though, to which Alaskans have benefitted from creating a stable economic climate supportive of private oil and gas investments: Alaska has oil and gas development, while others in the Arctic do not.

According to a recent U.S. Department of Energy study on "Arctic Oil & Natural Gas Potential," there are 17 identified large oil and gas fields located in the North American portion of the Arctic. Despite the fact that most were discovered in the 1970s and 1980s, to date only three of the 17 have been developed -- all in Alaska.

Why such limited development? Why Alaska?

According to the DOE, in North America "oil and natural gas field development is governed by market-based economics, with fields only being developed if and when they are expected to generate sufficient profits." The costs and risks of developing Arctic projects are significant: Onshore Alaska North Slope projects cost from one and a half to two times more than similar oil and natural gas projects undertaken in Texas. Other factors, such as long lead times, limited logistics support, severe weather and other harsh environmental conditions create even greater economic risk and burden.

"The bottom line for Arctic oil and natural gas potential is that high costs, high risks, and lengthy lead-times can all serve to deter their development in preference to the development of less challenging oil and natural gas resources elsewhere in the world," the DOE study concludes.

In light of these challenges, Alaska's contractually-based investment climate has been critical in distinguishing Alaska's resources from the other Arctic projects. Historically, the oil companies felt comfortable investing in Alaska because, while other factors remained unpredictable, their financial obligations to the state remained fixed.

Alaska's investment climate has changed dramatically in the last four years, though. Applying the catch phrase of requiring the oil companies to pay "Alaska's Clear and Equitable Share" of oil revenues, since 2006 Alaska has twice unilaterally increased the percent of revenues that the oil companies are required to pay for the production of "our" oil.

On some level, this action can be viewed as a breach of trust, if not a breach of contract. Alaska and the oil companies already negotiated Alaska's "fair share" of revenues at the time that the two parties entered into the underlying oil and gas leases. Alaska received significant upfront lease bonuses based, in large part, on the understanding that later revenue streams would be shared in accordance with the agreements.

Through ACES, though, Alaska has started using its taxing power one-sidedly to rewrite its fundamental agreements with the oil companies -- and to take a second bite at the "fairness" apple -- without even bothering to reach agreement with those making the investments.

It's the same as your local bank agreeing to loan you money at a contractually agreed-upon rate, then later convincing the Legislature to pass a law permitting the bank unilaterally to raise the rate higher. The bank's rationale would be that it was "our" money in the first place and all that they want now is their "fair share" of the greater return you are earning. Never mind the contract.

This approach clouds Alaska's future.

As the DOE report additionally concludes, "The high cost of doing business in the Arctic suggests that only the world's largest oil companies, most likely as partners in joint venture projects, have the financial, technical, and managerial strength to accomplish the costly, long-lead-time projects dictated by Arctic conditions."

ACES has, and continues to, undermine the economic climate that previously has attracted those types of enterprises to Alaska. If "the world's largest oil companies" stop investing in Alaska, as they have in other parts of the world in similar situations, significant new Alaska oil and gas exploration and development will come to a halt, and Alaska's future projects will fare no better than other Arctic projects.

Governor Parnell and others in the Legislature think a quick fix to the problem is creating tax "credits" for new investment. They are wrong.

First, Governor Parnell and his allies propose funding the tax credits by maintaining high taxes on production. In other words, once the new investment results in new production, the production is taxed at the current ACES rates. No producer is going to make new investments knowing that, once the investment pays off in production, the producer will again pay the higher rates.

Second, at their core, the tax credits are merely an attempt to limit producer choice. A producer has to invest in Alaska continually in order to receive the benefits of the credit. No producer of the size necessary to invest in Arctic ventures is going to forego the future opportunity to change its investment patterns if financial returns become better elsewhere.

There are no shortcuts or quick fixes. To be successful, Alaska must compete heads-up with the remainder of the world. Alaska cannot be successful by seeking to "trap" investment in the state.

To continue to attract new investment in its resources, Alaska must return to the policies that successfully developed the state's wealth in the first place -- the policies Alaska followed under Governors Egan, Hickel, Hammond and others up to the beginning of the Palin administration. Alaska needs to remember that, while "it's our oil," it's "their" investment that develops it, and return to policies that attract that investment to Alaska's Arctic environment.

Brad Keithley co-heads Perkins Coie, LLP's global oil and gas practice from the law firm's Anchorage office.

Talk of the Tundra features commentary by Alaskans from across the state. The views expressed are the writer's own and are not endorsed by Alaska Dispatch. We welcome a broad range of viewpoints. To submit a piece for consideration, e-mail   This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it .

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Member Comments
Posted By: gdmoore @ 03.14.2010 6:11 PM
Oh please, ric, maintain the conversation and stop trying to marginalize a differing opinion. The populists and statists from the CBC are in jail now.. Lets leave them there.

Indeed, the exercise is to monetize the oil and gas, but at a value and a rate of extraction which optimizes the growth of other sectors of our economy, such as manufacturing and services to other industries. We need to work harder at diversifying our economy, so that when petroleum/gas extraction is over, we can sustain ourselves. We feed the oil to the companies, and they feed the revenue share to us. There are two hands which need not to be bitten, not just one.
Posted By: ric @ 03.14.2010 11:00 AM
gdmoore: "The fact remains, it is our oil and gas:" A bird in hand is worth two in the bush. In this case, an unrenewable resource in the ground is of little value until it is monetized. The producers, their employees, as well as their sub-contrators and their employees form the basis of our economy. The community grows, is stable or contracts as they grow, are stable or contract. They are the foundation of the private sector economy. Populist/statist rhetoric may sound good but it is not productive. I suspect that when the local economy begins to mirror that of the late 1980's, popular/statist opinion will reverse course and argue for any agreement with the devil possible to stop the pain. In the meantime, the populist and the statist advocates will have produced nothing positive for those who ultimately suffer the consequences of the drastically misquided advocacy. Statists and populists seemed to have ignored some basic advice--don't bite the hand that feeds you. ric
Posted By: gdmoore @ 03.14.2010 9:40 AM
Chasm, I get a dose of economic reality every day. I own a successful small business. And no, we won't be gone at the end of oil production, because my business provides key infrastructure and support services to all the economic sectors you mentioned, as well as to a small but growing manufacturing sector. Your comment about government growth being the only growth, with no other collateral development, is not true. There has been tremendous growth in small businesses in all sectors, and in ANCSA corporations and derived businesses. One key to capturing collateral growth is to open-up the hide-bound University of Alaska system to more effectively and quickly move innovation to product. A second key is to open up venture capital flow by more effectively using the Permanent Fund to reduce the risk of startup investment, much like the federal SBA does now. A third key is to create tax and labor advantages for companies to locate in Alaska and serve the larger Pacific northwest markets. These measures have worked elsewhere in recovering the rustbelt and developing areas of rural America. With respect to the oil companies, our state needs to aggressively protect its own interests with these international pirate corporations. They even went to the length of trying to buy off and corrupt our own state government. I am offended by their behavior. Keithley has the audacity to accuse Alaska of a breach of trust, after the petroleum industry pushed VECO into the deepest corruption ever of Alaska public officials? Amazing. While Brad Keithley sings "Trusssssssssst in me...", I say keep an aggressive policy of capturing fair market value for our oil and gas, as in ACES.
Posted By: chasm @ 03.14.2010 6:25 AM
gdmoore; you need to get a dose of economic reality. You are right, when the oil and gas are gone so will Perkins Coie. But so will you unless you work in fishing, tourism, or the federal government. You said "Contrary to Mr. Keithley's essay, our problem is precisely how to capture revenue in Alaska for collateral economic development, thereby creating a long-term sustainable economy in Alaska" Just how to do you plan on doing that? The only collateral development we have had after 40 years is the growth of state government, which continues apace, even when the end of the road is in sight.
Posted By: gdmoore @ 03.13.2010 12:58 PM
Quoting the their website, "A core competence of the Perkins Coie Energy team is providing counsel to energy companies on matters of energy policy, litigation, regulation and strategy." Brad Keithley's article demonstrates their core competency on behalf of their corporate clients includes trying to talk the State of Alaska into believing that if we just trust the petroleum industry, then they will be pleased to look out for our interests.

The fact remains, it is our oil and gas. For those of us who intend our families to live on productively for many, many generations in Alaska, we do not intend to drain our nonrenewable resource to outside interests as quickly as possible. Contrary to Mr. Keithley's essay, our problem is precisely how to capture revenue in Alaska for collateral economic development, thereby creating a long-term sustainable economy in Alaska.

Over the events of the past year, neither Exxon nor Alyeska nor BP have given this Alaskan any reason to trust the petroleum industry. Precisely the opposite. And when the all oil is drained and all the gas has been pumped, will Perkins Coie still have an Anchorage office? Not likely.
Posted By: chasm @ 03.12.2010 6:14 PM
As an Alaskan of almost 60 years I would like to point out that I never invested one penny in the discovery or development of the oil fields, nor did anyone invest on my behalf. The oil companies owe me nothing. I gladly take the PFD check, but I didn't earn it. The state has cheated the oil companies by selling them the rights to the oil and then, after billions have been invested, raising the states share of the oil income. Clearly bait and switch. Those Alaskans that feel they are owed something from the oil companies should be ashamed of themselves.
Posted By: bgkeithley @ 03.12.2010 1:52 PM
Author's Response. Thanks for the comments thusfar; my response follows.

JMac. The answer to your question "Where did ELF get us?," is easy. It got Alaska a much longer production life than otherwise would have been the case. The reason that there are maintenance issues now at Prudhoe is because the field originally was estimated to last only 25 years. As a result of additional investment and substantial work by the producers over the life of the field, we are now nearing the 34th year of that 25 year life. Investment is a dynamic, ongoing process (that may be why this seems like deja vu to you; investment is not a one time thing, it needs to be repeated constantly). Additional investments are needed now to go to the next phase of development -- to pursue heavy (and even heavier) oil and other potential resources. Alaska needs to maintain create a favorable economic climate to encourage continued investments in additional resources.

JJAK ... Personal attacks usually don't make much of a point and are not worth a whole lot of time. I am pleased to respond to any substantive comments you have. In response to your comments, however, I will note two things. First, while my residence may have been elsewhere part of the time, I have been heavily involved in Alaska issues for over 15 years (and nearly 30 if you count my work early in my career on the ANGTS project) and led me to live here before, in the mid-1990's. For the last five years before finally moving here for good, I was in Alaska, on average, three weeks out of every four; over the same period, I will be happy to stand my record for contributions to the Alaska United Way, University of Alaska Foundation, Alaska Dance Theater, Anchorage Concert Association, Anchorage Museum and other organizations up against anyone else. When some family issues in the L48 were finally resolved, I moved here full time. That may or may not satisfy your concerns, but it makes me comfortable knowing that I have vested my life in Alaska and have Alaska's best interests fully in mind when I comment on current issues.

Thanks again for your comments.
Posted By: AKgasman @ 03.12.2010 1:03 PM
And so we have heard from another oil company shill, this time they bought and paid for an international law firm. Perkins Coie’s plant was treated as if came the author of a research article. Too bad the opposition is not treated the same treatment.

Normally in the past there would have been enough oil company volunteer shills. Guess they must have fallen off the band wagon when saw what the rest of the world oil taxes are. Alaska was just getting caught up and now Alaska fallen way behind again with world’s new round of oil taxes increases. Last couple of months Iraq in which the oil companies after rejecting Iraq’s offer, came back with their tails between the legs and took Iraq’s offer. And this month Vietnam, they make Alaskans look timid and gutless.

Mirror, mirror on the wall who is the gutless of them all ?
Remember the progressivity tax was the oil companies’ idea during the Murkowski Administration and progressivity spilled over into the Palin Administration. Palin offer them a good deal but the oil companies thought they could do better and ignored Palin and her bill.
But with Conoco being caught on the FBI tapes giving instructions to Bill Allen on manipulating the oil tax legislation for the oil companies, all but hard core oil company legislative shill s stayed on the sidelines.

For the record: Palin said “I am not going to fall on my sword for an oil tax bill the oil companies don’t want”. The democrats call in the international oil tax experts and democrats played catch up. Palin came back when it obvious the democrats were going to pass their bill without Palin. Palin may be accounted for as many as 4 additional republican votes in the house. After the legislation passed Palin tried to claim credit but Palin’s staff correct Palin and said it was democrats that ‘carried the day’ .

The public should always remember it is the oil companies corporate obligation to get away with anything they can and to tell Boobus Alaskanus anything they think Boobus is stupid and gullible enough to believe. This is not just reserved for us they do it one another too. Like BP did Conoco on the North Slope when Conoco was a lot smaller. Yet, today they are partners in the Denali Gasline. Oil and gas are the world biggest poker game. So ‘Let the buyer beware’.

IF we don’t cover our own asses nobody else will or Should!

Perkins Coie , would you like to try for two?
Posted By: jlar555 @ 03.12.2010 12:22 PM
"The $900 million in lease bonuses paid by the oil companies in 1969 for the core Prudhoe Bay tracts is largely credited with finally putting Alaska's government -- which had been on shaky ground since statehood -- on a firm footing."

Credited by whom? The $900 million lease sale did no such thing. The proceeds were squandered, long before North Slope oil production revenues came on stream, mostly on pie-in-the sky projects whose life-cycle maintenance costs buried the state in hundreds of millions of dollars worth of debt (at time when hundreds of millions of dollars was real money) which the state successfully begged the oil companies to pay off through advance tax payments until North Slope oil revenues finally began to flow into the state treasury. The rest of the article consists of cliches drawn mainly from Big Oil's anti- taxation talking points.

Joe LaRocca
Posted By: chasm @ 03.12.2010 6:28 AM
Oh those evil oil companies, they are not looking out for Alaska's interests. They just pay for about 80 percent of the cost of government, which includes our university, road maintenance, ferry system, airports, welfare, medical, and then each person in Alaska gets a yearly check. Those oil people are really bad people.

I have one question for you anti-oil people; If the current tax rate had been in effect since statehood, how much investment do you think the oil companies would have made?
Posted By: ric @ 03.11.2010 10:03 PM
In the headline, the introduction and the closing statement: "it's our oil," it's "their" investment that develops it..." needs to be hammered home again, again and again.

There is only one thing that is more important than this peek into reality, however. There investment creates JOBS, JOBS and good paying JOBS. ric
Posted By: jjAK49 @ 03.11.2010 9:10 PM
The following title seems more appropriate considering Bradford is a roaming oil industry attorney who just recently moved to Alaska:

"It's THEIR oil... but it's OUR investment"

Are any of us really dumb enough to believe that this guy has Alaska's best interests in mind?
Posted By: jmacinak @ 03.11.2010 8:30 PM
Bunk! This is justmore from the apologists` side of the producers` PR pitch. I`ve been here long enough to remember the late seventies and early eighties when the companies all said they needed more profit to invest back into the field to keep the oil flow up, and to "study" and do field work in preparation for our gasline (to ourselves at ). So we gave them the "ELF",...and billions in concessions. Where did ELF get us? It got us to Frank the Bank`s failed efforts to placate the companies. This is all like "deja-vu" from Mr. Keithly. It could have been taken off the front pages of the old "Times" or the Daily News. The producers owned the legislature then, and they would have now if not for the stupidity of Veco. Leave ACES alone. There is no "world" market way of pricing gas now. It is a spot commodity that is growing in value relative to oil. We have a fair way to tax both gas and oil in ACES. Lets get to open season and the information we learn there, before we go taking away what was meant as an incentive to the producers to join the gasline effort. ACES and AGIA got us to this dance. Let`s dance with the one that we brought.
Posted By: chasm @ 03.11.2010 7:15 PM
Thanks Brad for an excellent article. The Palin/Parnell team of anti-oil company zealots have done enormous damage to the state. Unfortunately the legislature does not seem to have the backbone to undo the damage.

busy